? The poor rains (Heys/dada) predicted by the consensus September?December climate outlook for Eastern Africa are expected to reverse the recovery process in Heys/Dada dependant areas of the coastal grazing belt and in inland areas of most pastoral livelihood zones. This, together with high staple food prices and decreased remittances, is likely to result in high food insecurity in most pastoral livelihood zones by January 2011.
? Poor urban households still face high staple food prices and widespread unemployment. Kerosene prices have also increased in the last month, driving an increased dependence on firewood and charcoal.
? Peak of mosquito propagation begins in late October and a malaria outbreak is possible by December. This is a normal seasonal trend. The poor rainfall forecast will not have a significant effect to the propagation of the insect, since the main breeding sites are open ditch latrines.